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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+7.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+5.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.54vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.27vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.12vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.15vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.24+4.78vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.19+0.17vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98-0.02vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48-2.79vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.43-3.62vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-4.80vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-5.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.17vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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11.78University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.21Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.79Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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12.21SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 25.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| John Rolander | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% |
| John Lawless | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.