Race 4A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stephanie Hudson 14.0% 12.4% 13.4% 10.9% 10.8% 9.9% 8.6% 7.4% 5.3% 3.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Jennifer Adler 13.6% 14.0% 12.6% 11.0% 11.4% 9.4% 7.7% 7.4% 6.2% 3.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Liv Gunnarsson 5.6% 7.6% 8.8% 9.1% 6.8% 9.2% 9.4% 9.9% 10.7% 9.1% 8.9% 4.1% 0.8%
Catherine Swanson 11.6% 9.8% 10.8% 12.3% 8.7% 9.2% 10.7% 6.8% 8.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Genoa Warner 9.9% 9.9% 8.7% 10.7% 9.2% 8.5% 9.8% 9.1% 6.5% 8.7% 6.1% 2.6% 0.3%
Phoebe Sprague 6.4% 5.9% 6.9% 6.8% 7.7% 6.7% 8.6% 10.3% 11.2% 9.8% 12.2% 6.4% 1.1%
Chandler Salisbury 11.6% 12.1% 9.5% 7.7% 10.7% 10.7% 8.6% 8.2% 8.4% 6.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.2% 8.4% 7.3% 7.2% 9.0% 8.7% 8.6% 10.4% 10.1% 10.3% 7.9% 4.1% 0.8%
Morgan Russom 6.2% 7.4% 6.2% 8.1% 8.0% 8.4% 10.0% 9.8% 9.0% 10.2% 9.7% 5.8% 1.2%
Haley Powell 8.7% 7.3% 8.8% 8.0% 9.0% 9.8% 9.0% 8.6% 8.6% 8.3% 9.4% 3.5% 1.0%
Erica Lush 3.7% 3.7% 5.1% 5.5% 5.8% 6.1% 6.4% 7.8% 9.2% 12.9% 15.7% 14.2% 3.9%
Brooke Doyon 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 1.7% 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 4.0% 6.4% 20.9% 58.1%
Ann Sager 1.0% 0.7% 1.5% 2.0% 1.2% 2.0% 1.4% 2.6% 4.2% 6.2% 11.8% 33.8% 31.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.