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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.31vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+6.05vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.53vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+3.42vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.98+2.50vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.30vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.87+1.26vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-2.41vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.49-3.32vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.67vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.24-0.47vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.48-6.37vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-5.53vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.19-7.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.05Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.42Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.5Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.67SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.53University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.78Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| John Rolander | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| John Lawless | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 26.3% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 22.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.