Race 15B

harry-anderson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Connor Godfrey 6.6% 6.2% 5.1% 5.6% 6.9% 6.9% 4.9% 4.7% 5.0% 7.3% 6.1% 5.9% 6.6% 7.8% 7.3% 5.0% 2.1%
Ravi Parent 6.5% 6.2% 6.7% 5.9% 6.5% 6.9% 4.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.3% 6.1% 6.0% 6.4% 4.9% 5.4% 4.1% 2.3%
Duncan Williford 5.8% 5.9% 6.3% 6.6% 6.3% 6.2% 6.9% 5.1% 5.8% 5.9% 7.1% 5.1% 7.2% 6.3% 5.7% 4.4% 3.4%
Marek Zaleski 8.0% 8.1% 6.6% 6.8% 5.3% 8.2% 6.6% 6.3% 6.4% 8.0% 6.4% 5.6% 5.7% 3.5% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4%
Casey Klingler 5.9% 5.5% 5.2% 5.9% 5.8% 5.6% 6.7% 5.3% 6.3% 5.8% 5.8% 7.5% 7.2% 5.6% 5.0% 6.1% 4.8%
Max Neubelt 4.0% 3.6% 3.7% 4.3% 4.1% 5.3% 5.6% 4.9% 4.6% 5.5% 6.7% 7.2% 7.6% 7.5% 8.4% 8.9% 8.1%
Drew Gallagher 4.9% 4.0% 4.3% 3.6% 4.6% 4.8% 5.4% 4.3% 5.6% 7.0% 6.2% 7.1% 8.2% 8.8% 7.3% 7.8% 6.1%
Nikole Barnes 11.0% 9.6% 10.7% 7.1% 7.3% 5.4% 7.3% 6.7% 6.5% 5.9% 5.9% 4.6% 3.6% 3.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6%
Ty Ingram 8.2% 9.5% 10.1% 10.1% 9.7% 8.1% 7.0% 6.9% 4.9% 5.7% 5.5% 5.2% 3.4% 1.8% 1.7% 1.2% 1.0%
Stewart Draheim 4.2% 3.9% 5.7% 5.7% 6.0% 5.2% 7.2% 6.3% 7.0% 4.5% 6.2% 5.8% 6.6% 8.1% 6.9% 6.7% 4.0%
Harry Koeppel 8.6% 7.2% 7.3% 7.5% 6.9% 6.3% 6.9% 6.1% 6.3% 6.5% 6.6% 5.8% 5.4% 4.1% 4.6% 2.5% 1.4%
Patrick Shanahan 7.3% 8.8% 7.0% 8.4% 6.5% 7.6% 6.4% 7.5% 6.9% 4.7% 6.1% 6.1% 4.6% 4.7% 3.8% 2.8% 0.8%
Megan Yeigh 4.6% 5.5% 4.1% 4.5% 4.7% 4.7% 6.2% 6.7% 7.7% 5.6% 5.5% 5.6% 8.4% 6.6% 6.7% 6.0% 6.9%
Jonathan Lutz 4.3% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 4.8% 6.1% 5.1% 6.0% 6.0% 4.9% 6.3% 7.1% 7.0% 7.5% 8.3% 7.4% 4.9%
Alison Knoles 2.2% 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 3.9% 2.5% 2.6% 4.6% 3.5% 4.1% 5.0% 4.1% 4.9% 7.8% 9.6% 13.9% 24.0%
John Rolander 6.6% 6.7% 7.9% 8.5% 8.2% 7.8% 7.0% 8.0% 6.1% 7.2% 4.7% 6.1% 3.0% 4.7% 3.9% 3.0% 0.6%
John Lawless 1.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 2.4% 3.3% 3.7% 4.4% 4.1% 3.8% 5.2% 4.2% 6.4% 8.9% 15.7% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.