← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.54+4.82vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.38+4.31vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University3.41+0.77vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.72+1.52vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.70vs Predicted
-
6Queen's University1.29+3.60vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University3.16-2.63vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.43-1.85vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.57vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.62+1.22vs Predicted
-
11Webb Institute1.56-2.30vs Predicted
-
12Penn State University0.22+0.25vs Predicted
-
13University of Delaware-0.30+0.45vs Predicted
-
14Syracuse University-0.22-0.64vs Predicted
-
15Drexel University-0.19-1.86vs Predicted
-
16University of Buffalo-1.31-0.54vs Predicted
-
17Colgate University-0.40-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.82Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
-
6.31Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
-
3.77George Washington University3.410.2%1st Place
-
5.52George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
-
5.7SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
-
9.6Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
-
4.37Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
6.15Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
4.43University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
11.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.620.0%1st Place
-
8.7Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
-
12.25Penn State University0.220.0%1st Place
-
13.45University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
-
13.36Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
-
13.14Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
-
15.46University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
-
13.73Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kelter | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 19.7% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Manson-Hing | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Casey Brown | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kieran Sweeney | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 17.8% | 10.7% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 11.3% |
| Barrett Adams | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 8.7% |
| Peter Smith | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 49.4% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.