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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.29vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+1.73vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+1.35vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.29+5.36vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43+1.15vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.08vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54-0.99vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.56+0.54vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-2.45vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo-1.31+5.41vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.62+0.24vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.72-6.54vs Predicted
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13Penn State University0.22-0.84vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.30-0.48vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-0.22-1.74vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.19-2.72vs Predicted
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17Colgate University-0.40-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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3.73George Washington University3.410.2%1st Place
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4.35Fordham University3.160.2%1st Place
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9.36Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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6.15Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.92SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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6.01Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.54Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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6.55Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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15.41University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
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11.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.620.0%1st Place
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5.46George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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12.16Penn State University0.220.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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13.26Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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13.28Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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13.78Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 16.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 19.3% | 18.1% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 15.1% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Balk | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Smith | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 46.9% |
| Christopher Manson-Hing | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Sweeney | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 11.6% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 9.7% |
| Barrett Adams | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 9.8% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.