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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.72+4.33vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.80+3.13vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+3.33vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+1.99vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41-1.39vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.13vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16-2.70vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.29+1.32vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.43-2.68vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.56-1.35vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.62+0.29vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.55-0.52vs Predicted
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13Colgate University-0.40+0.68vs Predicted
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14Penn State University0.22-1.61vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo-1.31+0.34vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-0.85-1.33vs Predicted
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17Drexel University-0.19-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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6.33Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.99Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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3.61George Washington University3.410.2%1st Place
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5.87SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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4.3Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.32Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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6.32Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.65Webb Institute1.560.0%1st Place
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11.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.620.0%1st Place
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11.48Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.68Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.39Penn State University0.220.0%1st Place
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15.34University of Buffalo-1.310.0%1st Place
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14.67University of Delaware-0.850.0%1st Place
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13.31Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sheerin | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 21.5% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Aulthouse | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Brown | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Manson-Hing | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Zachary Warner | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 13.9% |
| Kieran Sweeney | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Peter Smith | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 45.8% |
| John Waller | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 25.6% | 23.8% |
| Barrett Adams | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.