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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+3.26vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.06+8.24vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.37+3.32vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78+1.02vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.80vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.49-0.15vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute2.29-0.58vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.28+1.23vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.70-0.91vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.58vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.28+2.43vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo-1.33+3.77vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.02-0.42vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.60-8.67vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-6.56vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.93-1.06vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-0.95-2.06vs Predicted
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18Colgate University-1.86-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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6.32Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.02George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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3.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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5.85George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.42Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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9.23Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.09Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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10.58SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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13.43Drexel University-0.280.0%1st Place
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15.77University of Buffalo-1.330.0%1st Place
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12.58Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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5.33Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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14.94Penn State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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14.94University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
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16.34Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 14.2% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 26.0% | 21.2% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Voigt | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Michael Beckinghausen | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 24.3% | 26.4% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Brad Seferian | 10.1% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Castoro | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 21.0% | 20.4% | 12.0% |
| Martha Diezemann | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 20.3% | 12.9% |
| George Armstrong | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 20.7% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.