Race 5A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Haley Powell 7.6% 7.8% 8.8% 8.5% 7.4% 9.1% 9.1% 10.0% 9.5% 9.8% 8.0% 3.5% 0.9%
Catherine Swanson 10.6% 11.5% 9.8% 11.0% 10.2% 10.9% 8.7% 7.0% 7.8% 6.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Jennifer Adler 13.4% 13.8% 13.8% 9.9% 12.0% 10.0% 7.9% 6.4% 6.2% 3.9% 2.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Alexandra Arntsen 6.8% 7.4% 7.8% 9.4% 8.7% 7.1% 9.5% 9.8% 9.3% 9.4% 9.0% 5.0% 0.8%
Chandler Salisbury 10.7% 11.5% 10.2% 10.7% 8.3% 9.2% 9.3% 9.2% 7.9% 5.6% 5.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Genoa Warner 9.3% 9.2% 9.7% 9.5% 10.3% 10.1% 8.9% 8.9% 8.1% 6.3% 6.9% 2.6% 0.2%
Liv Gunnarsson 8.5% 7.7% 7.7% 7.1% 8.2% 9.1% 9.2% 9.4% 9.8% 10.9% 7.4% 4.2% 0.8%
Morgan Russom 7.1% 7.8% 7.1% 7.4% 7.1% 9.6% 10.0% 9.5% 10.0% 11.1% 8.5% 3.9% 0.9%
Phoebe Sprague 6.1% 5.9% 5.5% 6.7% 8.0% 6.5% 8.6% 10.2% 11.0% 10.1% 12.1% 7.2% 2.1%
Stephanie Hudson 14.6% 13.2% 12.6% 11.9% 10.2% 9.0% 8.3% 6.7% 4.8% 5.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Erica Lush 3.3% 3.2% 5.3% 5.7% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 8.4% 9.5% 12.2% 16.7% 12.4% 4.4%
Ann Sager 1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.6% 3.2% 4.0% 5.3% 10.0% 33.8% 32.5%
Brooke Doyon 0.8% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 3.4% 7.2% 23.2% 56.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.