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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.78+4.14vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+1.25vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.14+1.16vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute2.29+2.31vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.60+0.43vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.70+1.99vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.49-1.22vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.37-1.95vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57-0.66vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.35vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.28+2.16vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.06-2.00vs Predicted
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13Queen's University1.28-3.95vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-1.33+1.18vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.95-0.40vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.93-1.46vs Predicted
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17Colgate University-1.86-0.75vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-1.44-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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3.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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4.16Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
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6.31Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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5.43Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.99Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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5.78George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.05Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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10.35SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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13.16Drexel University-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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9.05Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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15.18University of Buffalo-1.330.0%1st Place
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14.6University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
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14.54Penn State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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16.25Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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15.4Syracuse University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam White | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 21.9% | 23.0% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 15.4% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Voigt | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Egan | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Beckinghausen | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 16.7% |
| Martha Diezemann | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 9.6% |
| Julian Castoro | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% |
| George Armstrong | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 21.2% | 40.5% |
| Alberto Rivera | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 21.4% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.