← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University3.14+3.22vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University2.78+3.10vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.70+5.16vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.49+1.70vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.37+1.03vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+2.31vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.60-1.56vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute2.29-1.76vs Predicted
-
9Queen's University1.28+0.15vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.37vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.06-1.12vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University-0.28+1.35vs Predicted
-
13Colgate University-1.86+3.11vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-10.86vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University-0.93-0.49vs Predicted
-
16Syracuse University-1.44-0.44vs Predicted
-
17University of Delaware-0.95-2.38vs Predicted
-
18University of Buffalo-1.33-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.22Cornell University3.140.2%1st Place
-
5.1George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
-
8.16Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
-
5.7George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.03Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
-
8.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
-
5.44Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.24Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
-
9.15Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
-
10.37SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
-
9.88University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
-
13.35Drexel University-0.280.0%1st Place
-
16.11Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
-
3.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
-
14.51Penn State University-0.930.0%1st Place
-
15.56Syracuse University-1.440.0%1st Place
-
14.62University of Delaware-0.950.0%1st Place
-
15.11University of Buffalo-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 15.1% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Egan | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Voigt | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| George Armstrong | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 37.9% |
| Charles Miller | 28.4% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Castoro | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 9.0% |
| Alberto Rivera | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 23.2% |
| Martha Diezemann | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 10.9% |
| Michael Beckinghausen | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.