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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.37+5.25vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+2.18vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.29+3.41vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.28+5.04vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.49+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.06+3.83vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.70+0.97vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+0.32vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.78-4.04vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.38vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.73vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.60-6.30vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.28+0.01vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo-1.33+1.21vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.93-0.40vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-0.86-1.56vs Predicted
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17Colgate University-1.86-0.70vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-1.44-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.18Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.41Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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9.04Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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5.69George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.83University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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7.97Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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8.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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4.96George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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10.38SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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3.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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5.7Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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13.01Drexel University-0.280.0%1st Place
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15.21University of Buffalo-1.330.0%1st Place
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14.6Penn State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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14.44University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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16.3Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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15.44Syracuse University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Andersen | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 14.6% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sherar | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 25.3% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Voigt | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Michael Beckinghausen | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 17.3% |
| Julian Castoro | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 9.2% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 9.0% |
| George Armstrong | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 41.0% |
| Alberto Rivera | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 21.7% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.