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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.37+5.20vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+2.17vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.24vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.60+1.39vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.78-0.03vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.49-0.22vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.70+0.97vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+0.31vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.06+0.78vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute2.29-3.50vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.64vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.28+1.33vs Predicted
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13Queen's University1.28-3.93vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-1.44+1.37vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo-1.33+0.35vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.93-1.37vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-0.86-2.53vs Predicted
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18Colgate University-1.86-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.17Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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3.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.2%1st Place
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5.39Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.97George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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5.78George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.97Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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8.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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6.5Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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10.36SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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13.33Drexel University-0.280.0%1st Place
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9.07Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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15.37Syracuse University-1.440.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Buffalo-1.330.0%1st Place
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14.63Penn State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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14.47University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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16.12Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Andersen | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 12.8% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 23.4% | 21.7% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 12.1% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Voigt | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Sherar | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alberto Rivera | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 20.5% |
| Michael Beckinghausen | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 21.5% | 18.6% |
| Julian Castoro | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 21.0% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.1% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 20.8% | 13.8% | 9.3% |
| George Armstrong | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.