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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.14+3.23vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.60+3.56vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.49+2.85vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.82vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute2.29+1.26vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.57+2.36vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.37-0.91vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.70-0.10vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.22vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.28+3.27vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.06-1.17vs Predicted
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12Queen's University1.28-2.59vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.78-8.06vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-1.44+1.42vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.86-0.60vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.93-1.41vs Predicted
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17Colgate University-1.86-0.71vs Predicted
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18University of Buffalo-1.33-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.56Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.85George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.3%1st Place
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6.26Webb Institute2.290.1%1st Place
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8.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.570.0%1st Place
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6.09Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.9Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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10.22SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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13.27Drexel University-0.280.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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9.41Queen's University1.280.0%1st Place
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4.94George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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15.42Syracuse University-1.440.0%1st Place
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14.4University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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14.59Penn State University-0.930.0%1st Place
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16.29Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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15.2University of Buffalo-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Uhl | 14.6% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 26.1% | 21.3% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Kloc | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Voigt | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Egan | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Sherar | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alberto Rivera | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 22.2% | 20.5% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 7.8% |
| Julian Castoro | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 10.0% |
| George Armstrong | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 21.8% | 41.2% |
| Michael Beckinghausen | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.