Race 1A

mt-hope-bay-south

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kendal Richardson 11.7% 14.3% 11.2% 11.9% 10.9% 9.8% 9.4% 7.9% 5.9% 3.4% 2.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Lettengarver 11.4% 13.4% 11.1% 10.0% 11.4% 10.9% 8.3% 7.5% 7.0% 4.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Conner Harding 17.1% 12.7% 15.7% 13.2% 9.9% 10.3% 8.6% 5.1% 3.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Holley 15.5% 14.8% 13.8% 11.6% 10.9% 11.0% 7.6% 6.0% 4.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Reid Secondo 3.8% 3.2% 4.2% 5.5% 5.6% 6.6% 7.6% 10.2% 11.2% 12.6% 10.9% 10.2% 5.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 5.1% 4.9% 7.6% 8.4% 8.7% 8.6% 7.5% 10.1% 11.2% 9.6% 8.8% 6.2% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Brendan Read 10.9% 9.1% 9.0% 10.2% 9.7% 10.6% 9.6% 10.0% 7.7% 6.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 10.2% 9.8% 9.1% 10.8% 10.1% 9.4% 10.8% 10.2% 7.7% 4.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Delosh 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 3.0% 4.4% 10.2% 15.7% 23.4% 34.3%
Emily Casella 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 8.3% 11.0% 15.6% 16.7% 12.4% 6.9% 4.3% 1.0%
Andrew Dill 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.1% 2.2% 3.3% 4.9% 7.1% 9.0% 13.9% 21.5% 18.1% 12.9%
Markus Suorsa 1.5% 1.8% 2.6% 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 5.5% 5.6% 5.7% 10.0% 12.0% 15.7% 15.6% 10.4% 4.6% 1.7%
Sarah De Silva 7.2% 8.6% 8.8% 8.2% 11.4% 9.4% 10.6% 10.3% 8.4% 7.8% 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Martin Hooker 0.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 3.0% 4.2% 5.4% 13.8% 17.7% 23.2% 25.4%
Haley Kachmar 2.2% 2.9% 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 4.4% 5.9% 6.6% 10.3% 11.5% 13.6% 16.1% 9.7% 6.2% 2.8% 0.1%
Ryan Carlucci 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 2.0% 3.0% 4.4% 6.4% 13.4% 17.8% 23.0% 24.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.