Race 2A

mt-hope-bay-south

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kendal Richardson 13.1% 13.7% 10.6% 12.9% 10.5% 9.2% 8.4% 8.0% 7.2% 2.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conner Harding 16.1% 16.6% 12.2% 10.6% 13.1% 10.3% 7.5% 5.3% 4.6% 1.9% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Read 10.6% 9.2% 9.8% 10.5% 9.8% 11.1% 11.2% 9.8% 7.9% 4.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Holley 15.1% 15.2% 14.1% 12.9% 10.4% 9.1% 8.0% 6.7% 5.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 5.2% 6.3% 7.3% 6.7% 8.1% 8.6% 9.5% 10.8% 10.5% 11.5% 6.7% 5.5% 2.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 7.1% 6.6% 11.0% 10.6% 7.4% 10.5% 8.9% 10.5% 8.5% 9.1% 5.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 9.4% 9.9% 9.5% 7.8% 12.1% 7.6% 11.8% 9.7% 9.1% 5.9% 3.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Dill 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 2.8% 4.4% 7.4% 10.1% 15.0% 18.3% 21.5% 10.8%
Austin Lettengarver 12.3% 10.2% 12.1% 11.4% 10.3% 11.1% 9.1% 7.6% 6.7% 4.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Markus Suorsa 1.9% 2.3% 1.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 6.2% 11.2% 11.7% 17.1% 16.2% 9.3% 4.8% 1.4%
Emily Casella 2.4% 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 3.3% 4.1% 4.2% 5.1% 7.0% 10.7% 13.5% 16.3% 13.4% 7.9% 3.4% 1.2%
Kelsey Delosh 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 3.9% 4.9% 10.5% 14.5% 21.3% 37.1%
Martin Hooker 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.6% 3.4% 6.0% 6.3% 11.3% 17.9% 23.3% 25.8%
Ryan Carlucci 0.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.8% 5.0% 6.2% 10.5% 22.6% 22.1% 23.1%
Reid Secondo 3.7% 3.8% 4.8% 4.0% 6.2% 7.0% 7.9% 9.0% 11.3% 11.8% 13.3% 9.3% 4.9% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Haley Kachmar 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 5.9% 6.6% 8.0% 11.3% 13.0% 14.9% 11.6% 6.1% 2.8% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.