Race 3A

mt-hope-bay-south

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Austin Lettengarver 11.3% 12.9% 11.3% 10.5% 12.1% 9.3% 8.8% 7.7% 8.5% 4.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 12.7% 12.0% 12.2% 10.1% 11.3% 10.4% 9.7% 8.4% 5.4% 4.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Holley 16.9% 13.1% 13.6% 12.9% 11.0% 10.3% 10.0% 4.8% 3.2% 2.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Conner Harding 15.0% 15.5% 11.4% 13.1% 11.7% 10.4% 7.7% 7.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Read 9.8% 9.9% 9.8% 12.0% 9.5% 10.2% 9.8% 9.8% 6.7% 6.4% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 7.3% 6.3% 9.8% 9.2% 9.8% 9.5% 10.8% 11.2% 7.5% 7.3% 6.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Reid Secondo 4.1% 5.3% 3.4% 5.6% 5.3% 5.2% 8.0% 8.7% 10.6% 12.7% 13.0% 10.1% 5.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 5.8% 6.0% 7.9% 6.6% 8.0% 8.7% 9.4% 9.8% 12.0% 11.0% 6.8% 5.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 9.4% 10.0% 9.9% 9.9% 10.2% 10.5% 9.0% 10.0% 7.8% 6.4% 3.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Casella 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 2.7% 3.7% 5.1% 8.7% 10.9% 14.6% 17.6% 12.3% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8%
Markus Suorsa 2.1% 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.8% 3.9% 3.6% 5.3% 7.3% 9.4% 13.0% 16.9% 13.5% 10.4% 4.2% 1.2%
Haley Kachmar 2.5% 2.0% 3.6% 3.3% 3.0% 5.4% 5.7% 6.5% 9.4% 10.9% 12.3% 13.9% 13.3% 5.1% 2.4% 0.7%
Kelsey Delosh 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 2.0% 4.6% 6.0% 8.4% 14.6% 24.2% 34.9%
Martin Hooker 0.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 2.3% 2.4% 4.2% 6.0% 12.1% 20.9% 20.1% 26.6%
Ryan Carlucci 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 3.5% 3.5% 6.5% 11.2% 18.7% 24.8% 24.4%
Andrew Dill 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 2.8% 4.5% 7.2% 8.7% 17.7% 19.6% 20.2% 11.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.