Race 4A

mt-hope-bay-south

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Molly Pleskus 5.0% 7.7% 5.2% 10.2% 7.2% 8.1% 9.9% 10.6% 10.8% 8.6% 9.1% 4.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Lettengarver 10.9% 13.1% 12.0% 10.5% 9.7% 11.2% 8.4% 7.8% 7.3% 5.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 11.0% 6.8% 10.1% 10.4% 10.6% 10.3% 10.8% 8.8% 8.0% 7.2% 3.9% 0.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Conner Harding 14.9% 15.5% 13.6% 12.1% 11.2% 10.3% 7.4% 5.8% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Reid Secondo 3.2% 3.7% 4.6% 4.9% 5.4% 7.3% 8.7% 9.0% 11.5% 11.2% 12.6% 9.1% 5.8% 2.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Cameron Holley 15.1% 14.5% 15.4% 11.1% 13.6% 7.4% 7.5% 6.9% 4.0% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Read 10.6% 9.6% 9.8% 8.9% 10.7% 10.0% 10.5% 9.6% 7.5% 6.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 13.0% 12.0% 12.4% 11.0% 10.9% 10.8% 8.2% 8.5% 6.0% 4.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 8.3% 7.7% 8.4% 9.0% 9.6% 10.2% 10.3% 10.7% 7.8% 7.4% 6.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Haley Kachmar 2.6% 2.8% 2.5% 3.0% 3.2% 3.8% 5.5% 6.6% 8.8% 10.9% 15.6% 15.0% 11.9% 5.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Emily Casella 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 3.2% 4.3% 3.4% 5.8% 8.2% 11.4% 12.8% 15.1% 13.5% 9.0% 2.7% 0.7%
Andrew Dill 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.7% 4.1% 6.5% 11.6% 15.7% 19.0% 18.9% 12.4%
Ryan Carlucci 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.9% 2.0% 3.2% 4.2% 7.5% 11.6% 21.1% 22.7% 22.3%
Markus Suorsa 1.7% 2.2% 1.5% 3.4% 2.3% 2.4% 5.9% 4.4% 7.3% 9.8% 11.9% 18.2% 14.2% 9.1% 4.4% 1.3%
Kelsey Delosh 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 3.2% 5.0% 9.6% 14.0% 24.6% 36.5%
Martin Hooker 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 2.8% 3.6% 6.7% 11.5% 18.6% 24.0% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.