Race 5A

mt-hope-bay-south

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Cameron Holley 17.8% 14.3% 14.7% 11.8% 12.0% 9.7% 6.5% 5.7% 3.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 12.4% 14.0% 11.1% 10.7% 10.2% 10.4% 8.7% 8.8% 5.5% 4.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Lettengarver 11.9% 11.2% 9.2% 12.2% 11.1% 11.3% 10.6% 8.6% 6.1% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 5.5% 8.8% 9.8% 8.4% 9.1% 9.4% 9.6% 9.7% 9.6% 9.0% 6.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Read 9.3% 11.1% 10.1% 10.0% 11.1% 8.5% 10.5% 10.7% 7.3% 5.3% 4.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 5.3% 6.3% 6.4% 7.6% 8.8% 8.8% 8.3% 8.6% 11.2% 10.7% 8.9% 5.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Conner Harding 16.7% 13.1% 14.5% 11.7% 10.0% 9.5% 9.1% 6.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Carlucci 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 2.4% 1.3% 2.7% 4.9% 8.9% 11.5% 17.3% 22.4% 23.9%
Jan Kite-Powell 9.7% 10.1% 9.8% 9.9% 10.3% 10.4% 9.2% 8.2% 8.8% 6.4% 4.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Delosh 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 2.4% 2.5% 5.0% 8.6% 12.9% 24.7% 37.4%
Emily Casella 2.3% 1.6% 2.6% 3.3% 3.7% 4.0% 4.5% 5.3% 7.6% 9.5% 12.6% 17.6% 12.5% 8.7% 3.5% 0.7%
Haley Kachmar 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 3.9% 2.8% 5.2% 6.6% 6.1% 9.7% 10.7% 13.4% 12.9% 11.0% 7.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Reid Secondo 3.4% 3.7% 4.4% 7.2% 5.9% 5.6% 7.6% 10.5% 11.8% 11.0% 10.7% 9.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Andrew Dill 0.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.9% 1.9% 1.5% 1.8% 3.2% 5.5% 6.1% 11.3% 17.5% 21.5% 15.7% 10.6%
Markus Suorsa 2.1% 1.3% 2.4% 1.3% 2.0% 3.4% 4.3% 4.9% 6.8% 9.6% 14.8% 15.7% 14.3% 11.2% 4.6% 1.3%
Martin Hooker 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 2.0% 2.7% 4.1% 5.2% 12.7% 17.4% 25.9% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.