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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.67+1.31vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.38+5.53vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.03+2.94vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University0.24+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.55+2.24vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.31+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.30-2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.17-1.58vs Predicted
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9Unknown School-0.22-2.63vs Predicted
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10Washington University-0.76-2.09vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.09-2.16vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.92-1.34vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-1.83-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of Wisconsin1.6741.3%1st Place
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7.53Northwestern University-0.384.2%1st Place
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5.94University of Saint Thomas-0.036.8%1st Place
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5.39Texas A&M University0.248.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Minnesota-0.554.9%1st Place
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7.02Hope College-0.315.6%1st Place
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4.85University of Wisconsin0.309.8%1st Place
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6.42University of Michigan-0.175.2%1st Place
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6.37Unknown School-0.226.1%1st Place
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7.91Washington University-0.763.1%1st Place
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8.84Marquette University-1.092.5%1st Place
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10.66Arizona State University-1.921.0%1st Place
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10.51Grand Valley State University-1.831.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Styslinger | 41.3% | 23.7% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Warfel | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Kate Hennig | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Isaac Sparber | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Carter Harms | 9.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| John McCalmont | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Casey Dietsch | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Adams | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 5.4% |
| Benjamin Karle | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 10.0% |
| Viviane Carroll | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 18.1% | 38.0% |
| Lucy Herlein | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 20.2% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.