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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.33+4.70vs Predicted
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2Washington College4.25+3.99vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.34+2.74vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin4.10+2.68vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida4.10+1.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+4.97vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.64+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.59+0.25vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-0.52vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.54-1.38vs Predicted
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12Clemson University2.34+0.40vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.14-0.03vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College4.15-7.67vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.24-5.50vs Predicted
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16University of Texas2.50-3.83vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.92-9.74vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-10.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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5.99Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.65University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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8.29College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rhode Island3.590.1%1st Place
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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12.4Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.97Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.33SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.5Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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7.26Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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7.26Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Furnary | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Warren | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 21.9% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Raff | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.