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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.39+2.82vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.70+3.59vs Predicted
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3Boston College0.05+4.21vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.47-0.36vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.46-1.32vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College-0.25+2.19vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.36-0.71vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College-0.42+0.76vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.04-1.31vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.22-1.83vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.45-1.84vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-0.20vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-1.01-2.66vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.73-1.95vs Predicted
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15Bates College-2.67-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Bowdoin College1.3918.9%1st Place
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5.59Northeastern University0.708.2%1st Place
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7.21Boston College0.055.5%1st Place
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3.64Bowdoin College1.4720.0%1st Place
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3.68Dartmouth College1.4619.8%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College-0.253.4%1st Place
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6.29University of Vermont0.366.8%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College-0.423.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston University-0.044.2%1st Place
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8.17Boston University-0.223.9%1st Place
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9.16Bentley University-0.452.9%1st Place
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11.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.9%1st Place
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10.34Maine Maritime Academy-1.011.5%1st Place
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12.05University of New Hampshire-1.730.7%1st Place
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13.62Bates College-2.670.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Keenan | 18.9% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Henry Ladd | 20.0% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Bryan | 19.8% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Warren | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Marco Welch | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Graham Welsh | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Stevens | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| John O'Connell | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 15.1% |
| Joshua Herlihy | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 4.4% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 17.9% | 25.1% | 18.1% |
| Logan Ray | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 17.5% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.