Race 10A

central-series

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Byrne 6.9% 8.9% 10.7% 11.3% 14.5% 14.1% 15.1% 11.6% 4.9% 2.0%
Michael Rush 45.3% 25.7% 16.6% 7.8% 2.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Beery 7.5% 10.0% 10.5% 11.6% 16.5% 17.6% 12.8% 9.2% 3.8% 0.5%
Ian Donahue 9.4% 15.1% 15.6% 16.5% 15.9% 12.7% 8.9% 4.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 13.8% 18.7% 20.6% 17.1% 12.7% 7.8% 5.1% 3.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Alexandra Arntsen 11.2% 12.8% 12.5% 17.4% 14.3% 13.3% 10.7% 5.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Christopher Hulse 2.2% 2.7% 4.5% 6.7% 8.7% 12.3% 18.0% 18.4% 18.7% 7.8%
Tom Charpentier 2.3% 3.4% 5.9% 5.3% 9.1% 10.4% 14.7% 21.9% 17.7% 9.3%
Natalie Fohl 0.6% 1.6% 1.0% 2.7% 3.3% 4.7% 6.4% 10.4% 27.3% 42.0%
John Fonte 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 3.6% 2.4% 5.8% 7.6% 14.8% 24.0% 37.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.