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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.67+3.00vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.40+5.15vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.17+3.43vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.15+5.66vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.12+1.26vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.37+1.10vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.72+4.44vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.39+2.45vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.40-1.81vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.36-3.04vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.42-3.87vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.71-3.71vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.58-5.23vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.86-5.39vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.73-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Western Washington University0.6719.9%1st Place
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7.15Western Washington University-0.407.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Washington-0.177.9%1st Place
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9.66Western Washington University-1.153.3%1st Place
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6.26University of Washington-0.129.9%1st Place
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7.1Western Washington University-0.377.6%1st Place
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11.44Arizona State University-1.722.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Oregon-1.392.5%1st Place
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7.19University of Oregon-0.406.8%1st Place
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6.96University of Washington-0.368.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Washington-0.426.6%1st Place
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8.29University of Washington-0.715.9%1st Place
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7.77Western Washington University-0.585.6%1st Place
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8.61Arizona State University-0.865.0%1st Place
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11.55Western Washington University-1.731.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 19.9% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Ava Butterfield | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Kathryn Drennan | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Moore | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 26.7% |
| Dylan Zink | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 15.6% |
| Rowan Clinch | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Tillie Jane LeRoy | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Renee Chien | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Addison Dunn | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Noah Lovelace | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Erica Stavnem | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.