Race 9A

mt-hope-bay-south

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Brendan Read 9.7% 10.4% 11.5% 11.1% 10.1% 10.3% 8.2% 8.6% 8.0% 7.0% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah De Silva 8.4% 8.7% 8.9% 8.6% 9.0% 9.6% 9.7% 9.2% 8.3% 9.3% 5.9% 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 9.9% 10.2% 7.9% 9.2% 11.2% 9.7% 10.9% 10.4% 7.9% 6.0% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Reid Secondo 3.5% 4.8% 3.4% 5.3% 6.3% 5.3% 7.5% 8.3% 10.8% 12.1% 13.9% 8.6% 6.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 11.3% 11.6% 12.1% 12.9% 9.9% 10.3% 10.8% 6.9% 6.3% 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Conner Harding 15.5% 14.8% 14.4% 12.4% 9.5% 10.7% 7.3% 6.4% 3.9% 2.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Carlucci 0.1% 0.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 3.7% 4.1% 5.6% 11.4% 18.5% 22.9% 25.9%
Haley Kachmar 2.1% 2.3% 3.4% 3.1% 3.9% 5.1% 5.3% 6.6% 9.5% 10.8% 14.3% 14.6% 9.9% 6.6% 2.2% 0.3%
Kelsey Delosh 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.3% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 0.8% 2.5% 3.2% 3.9% 11.0% 15.8% 23.5% 34.0%
Cameron Holley 16.2% 13.2% 13.1% 13.0% 13.1% 9.8% 8.0% 5.6% 4.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Lettengarver 13.2% 10.9% 10.1% 9.9% 10.9% 11.2% 9.5% 7.8% 6.6% 5.0% 2.5% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
George Luber 1.9% 3.2% 2.5% 2.2% 3.2% 4.1% 3.9% 7.8% 9.5% 10.7% 11.0% 16.7% 11.8% 8.5% 2.4% 0.6%
Molly Pleskus 5.3% 6.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.5% 7.0% 10.9% 10.4% 10.5% 9.4% 8.9% 5.8% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Markus Suorsa 1.8% 1.2% 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 3.6% 4.7% 5.8% 6.8% 9.1% 13.2% 17.6% 15.0% 7.8% 4.9% 1.0%
Martin Hooker 0.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 3.7% 6.9% 11.4% 16.9% 25.1% 26.4%
Andrew Dill 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 2.5% 3.3% 3.6% 6.9% 10.2% 16.3% 21.8% 18.3% 11.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.