Race 1B

mt-hope-bay-south

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kurran Singh 4.1% 5.0% 6.3% 5.1% 7.2% 6.4% 8.7% 9.8% 10.0% 10.4% 10.8% 7.7% 5.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Benjamin Craig 6.2% 8.6% 7.8% 9.8% 8.0% 10.4% 8.7% 11.5% 8.2% 8.3% 6.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 11.6% 10.8% 10.5% 13.9% 10.0% 10.8% 10.3% 8.5% 5.8% 3.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Dawson 1.7% 2.4% 3.5% 1.7% 3.8% 4.8% 5.9% 5.4% 6.7% 9.6% 13.0% 14.3% 12.4% 8.8% 5.0% 1.0%
Renee Torrie 3.0% 3.8% 4.3% 4.9% 6.6% 6.4% 8.3% 9.5% 9.9% 12.6% 11.3% 9.2% 6.7% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Dakota Northrup 17.6% 15.6% 13.7% 14.1% 10.8% 8.9% 7.2% 5.1% 3.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Petrovic 12.6% 11.9% 11.2% 10.0% 11.8% 11.2% 8.2% 9.0% 6.4% 3.5% 2.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Lau-Hansen 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.3% 2.1% 4.3% 4.7% 6.2% 7.4% 10.0% 12.5% 15.2% 12.4% 9.1% 5.3% 1.0%
Franco Bilik 11.7% 11.4% 12.6% 11.2% 11.4% 9.0% 10.2% 5.7% 8.3% 3.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Orgill 2.2% 2.9% 2.0% 2.2% 4.0% 3.3% 4.8% 5.0% 8.4% 12.0% 11.9% 14.2% 12.3% 10.3% 3.4% 1.1%
Taylor Nathanson 11.0% 10.6% 9.5% 10.5% 9.9% 10.7% 9.2% 9.4% 8.0% 6.0% 2.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Bitney 14.5% 12.6% 13.3% 10.4% 11.0% 9.6% 7.5% 8.8% 5.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Martins 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 2.8% 2.4% 4.8% 5.2% 7.0% 10.3% 15.8% 18.1% 17.6% 10.1%
Kimberly Jackman 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 4.6% 6.7% 7.9% 13.2% 20.5% 20.9% 14.8%
David Tampellini 0.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 3.2% 2.8% 4.5% 6.9% 10.7% 16.9% 26.2% 21.8%
Katherine Fox 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 1.0% 2.2% 3.3% 3.7% 6.8% 10.2% 19.9% 49.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.