Race 2B

mt-hope-bay-south

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Daniel Petrovic 12.7% 12.1% 13.0% 11.5% 10.6% 10.8% 8.4% 7.2% 6.4% 4.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 13.0% 12.0% 10.8% 11.6% 9.7% 9.9% 9.7% 7.6% 7.2% 4.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 13.1% 9.3% 11.9% 10.1% 12.5% 10.9% 10.4% 7.9% 6.2% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Taylor Nathanson 8.6% 10.4% 10.1% 10.3% 9.9% 10.8% 11.8% 7.9% 8.5% 6.0% 3.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Bitney 12.6% 13.0% 13.5% 10.5% 12.4% 9.7% 9.9% 8.0% 4.0% 2.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dakota Northrup 16.3% 17.0% 13.6% 14.7% 11.0% 7.7% 7.2% 5.2% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Dawson 2.1% 3.1% 3.0% 2.5% 3.9% 3.7% 5.4% 4.8% 7.3% 9.3% 12.4% 15.6% 13.7% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9%
Benjamin Craig 7.0% 7.8% 7.8% 9.0% 9.2% 10.9% 8.0% 10.6% 10.0% 7.5% 7.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 4.9% 4.3% 5.0% 5.1% 5.3% 7.3% 8.1% 11.4% 9.4% 12.6% 10.3% 7.7% 4.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Renee Torrie 3.8% 4.1% 4.6% 4.6% 4.8% 5.9% 7.0% 10.1% 12.5% 13.1% 9.4% 9.8% 6.1% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Matthew Lau-Hansen 2.3% 2.5% 2.2% 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 3.8% 5.1% 7.0% 10.1% 12.3% 14.4% 13.3% 10.1% 5.5% 1.5%
David Tampellini 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 2.0% 1.7% 2.8% 3.3% 4.5% 8.4% 10.8% 15.7% 25.5% 21.3%
Matthew Orgill 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 3.8% 3.8% 4.7% 4.8% 6.4% 8.1% 9.4% 14.3% 12.2% 12.7% 8.6% 4.6% 0.9%
Kelsey Martins 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 3.0% 3.6% 4.6% 8.6% 10.5% 14.9% 20.2% 16.3% 9.9%
Katherine Fox 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 2.1% 1.8% 3.9% 6.5% 11.4% 19.9% 49.8%
Kimberly Jackman 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 4.1% 5.8% 8.9% 13.6% 18.2% 23.2% 15.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.