Race 3B

mt-hope-bay-south

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Preston Duclos 11.7% 12.9% 12.5% 10.4% 11.1% 9.7% 9.2% 8.3% 7.7% 3.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 3.4% 5.4% 6.2% 5.7% 6.2% 7.2% 7.7% 9.8% 9.7% 10.8% 11.8% 9.1% 3.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Franco Bilik 13.0% 10.4% 10.3% 11.5% 11.0% 11.8% 10.9% 7.9% 5.2% 4.1% 1.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Petrovic 11.3% 11.9% 12.0% 10.7% 12.3% 9.6% 9.9% 8.9% 5.3% 4.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Bitney 13.2% 13.4% 11.1% 12.3% 11.9% 10.6% 9.6% 7.0% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Renee Torrie 2.9% 3.8% 4.3% 6.2% 5.3% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 9.9% 11.8% 11.4% 9.0% 5.6% 4.1% 1.0% 0.3%
Benjamin Craig 7.5% 7.4% 7.6% 7.9% 8.1% 9.4% 10.2% 9.6% 10.6% 8.8% 6.2% 4.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Kelsey Martins 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 5.2% 8.1% 8.4% 15.3% 17.8% 19.4% 10.0%
Dakota Northrup 18.2% 16.4% 14.7% 13.5% 10.5% 8.7% 6.6% 5.4% 2.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Orgill 1.9% 2.9% 2.5% 2.7% 3.3% 3.1% 3.7% 5.8% 8.2% 12.7% 13.7% 12.5% 13.4% 8.7% 3.6% 1.3%
Christopher Dawson 2.6% 2.3% 2.9% 3.3% 3.3% 4.8% 5.3% 4.6% 7.9% 11.6% 11.5% 13.4% 14.0% 7.3% 4.3% 0.9%
Taylor Nathanson 10.5% 8.9% 11.3% 11.2% 9.6% 8.5% 10.1% 10.0% 9.0% 4.5% 3.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Fox 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 6.0% 6.4% 11.6% 17.6% 49.6%
David Tampellini 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 4.7% 8.3% 11.0% 18.3% 23.7% 20.6%
Matthew Lau-Hansen 2.4% 1.6% 2.0% 2.0% 2.7% 4.3% 3.2% 6.9% 7.9% 9.1% 12.5% 15.2% 12.8% 9.9% 5.9% 1.6%
Kimberly Jackman 0.2% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 4.0% 5.9% 7.1% 13.9% 19.5% 23.2% 15.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.