Race 4B

mt-hope-bay-south

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Renee Torrie 3.2% 4.4% 5.7% 5.0% 7.1% 6.7% 7.6% 7.7% 11.6% 12.2% 10.3% 9.0% 5.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 12.9% 10.9% 12.5% 10.8% 10.6% 9.4% 9.3% 8.6% 6.7% 3.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 11.9% 11.4% 10.8% 11.2% 10.0% 11.5% 11.2% 7.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 3.3% 4.5% 5.3% 4.7% 6.2% 6.9% 8.3% 8.4% 11.5% 11.7% 11.5% 7.6% 7.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Taylor Nathanson 9.6% 9.7% 10.9% 10.6% 10.3% 10.2% 9.9% 9.2% 8.6% 5.2% 3.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Craig 6.3% 6.2% 9.3% 9.0% 9.4% 8.9% 9.7% 10.9% 9.0% 7.6% 6.6% 4.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Jack Bitney 14.4% 11.8% 11.9% 10.4% 11.4% 10.0% 9.8% 8.5% 5.9% 2.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Petrovic 13.1% 13.6% 10.9% 10.9% 12.2% 10.3% 9.4% 8.1% 4.7% 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Dawson 2.0% 3.4% 1.7% 3.4% 3.7% 3.8% 4.6% 6.5% 7.7% 11.7% 12.2% 14.2% 11.6% 8.7% 3.6% 1.2%
Matthew Lau-Hansen 2.0% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.1% 3.3% 4.2% 5.6% 6.6% 10.6% 13.1% 13.4% 16.6% 8.8% 4.9% 1.2%
David Tampellini 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 0.6% 1.6% 3.3% 3.4% 5.0% 7.0% 9.8% 16.3% 26.0% 22.0%
Katherine Fox 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 2.5% 2.3% 3.7% 7.0% 11.5% 20.0% 48.1%
Matthew Orgill 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 4.3% 4.1% 4.4% 4.5% 6.3% 7.4% 11.2% 13.2% 13.4% 11.1% 9.0% 5.1% 0.5%
Kelsey Martins 0.4% 1.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 3.1% 2.6% 5.8% 6.9% 11.4% 15.7% 19.4% 16.5% 10.0%
Kimberly Jackman 0.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 2.1% 3.1% 3.4% 4.7% 9.6% 11.6% 20.6% 22.1% 16.6%
Dakota Northrup 17.3% 15.9% 14.7% 14.0% 9.4% 10.4% 7.0% 4.7% 3.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.