Race 7A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Haley Powell 8.0% 5.9% 8.7% 11.3% 7.5% 7.6% 9.4% 9.7% 9.4% 10.9% 6.7% 3.8% 1.1%
Catherine Swanson 11.2% 10.5% 11.0% 10.7% 10.4% 9.9% 8.9% 7.3% 7.9% 6.2% 4.0% 1.7% 0.3%
Jennifer Adler 13.2% 14.3% 12.7% 9.8% 11.8% 10.0% 9.3% 6.7% 5.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Chandler Salisbury 10.2% 10.9% 10.5% 10.1% 9.9% 9.1% 9.8% 8.6% 7.9% 6.8% 4.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Genoa Warner 10.0% 9.8% 9.7% 9.2% 7.9% 10.0% 9.5% 9.5% 9.2% 7.0% 5.6% 2.2% 0.4%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.8% 7.9% 7.4% 8.1% 9.7% 7.7% 8.8% 10.2% 8.7% 8.5% 10.1% 4.5% 0.6%
Morgan Russom 8.1% 7.4% 8.4% 7.1% 6.1% 9.3% 9.2% 8.1% 11.3% 9.9% 10.2% 3.7% 1.2%
Stephanie Hudson 13.8% 13.6% 11.3% 11.5% 12.5% 10.0% 7.5% 7.4% 5.5% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Phoebe Sprague 6.2% 5.7% 5.4% 6.9% 6.8% 8.0% 9.1% 9.6% 9.6% 11.7% 11.9% 6.9% 2.2%
Ann Sager 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 1.8% 2.7% 3.1% 6.8% 10.2% 32.8% 32.1%
Liv Gunnarsson 7.2% 8.0% 9.5% 6.6% 9.0% 9.4% 9.0% 10.8% 9.6% 8.0% 8.4% 3.6% 0.9%
Brooke Doyon 0.4% 0.8% 0.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 2.2% 2.3% 4.0% 6.4% 22.9% 56.0%
Erica Lush 3.1% 3.7% 3.4% 5.2% 4.8% 6.1% 6.5% 7.2% 10.2% 11.8% 18.4% 14.7% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.