← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington-0.12+5.16vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University-0.37+5.07vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.67+0.96vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.40+3.19vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington-0.36+2.09vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-1.73+5.33vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-0.40+0.31vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.71+0.25vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-0.58-1.18vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-0.86-1.38vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-0.42-3.70vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington-0.17-5.72vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-1.72-1.57vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-1.15-4.35vs Predicted
-
15University of Oregon-1.39-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.16University of Washington-0.129.7%1st Place
-
7.07Western Washington University-0.377.0%1st Place
-
3.96Western Washington University0.6719.7%1st Place
-
7.19Western Washington University-0.407.1%1st Place
-
7.09University of Washington-0.367.1%1st Place
-
11.33Western Washington University-1.732.1%1st Place
-
7.31University of Oregon-0.407.0%1st Place
-
8.25University of Washington-0.715.4%1st Place
-
7.82Western Washington University-0.585.9%1st Place
-
8.62Arizona State University-0.864.3%1st Place
-
7.3University of Washington-0.427.1%1st Place
-
6.28University of Washington-0.1710.0%1st Place
-
11.43Arizona State University-1.721.7%1st Place
-
9.65Western Washington University-1.153.4%1st Place
-
10.52University of Oregon-1.392.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Dalton Lovett | 19.7% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Erica Stavnem | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 25.6% |
| Rowan Clinch | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Renee Chien | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Addison Dunn | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Noah Lovelace | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Tillie Jane LeRoy | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Ava Butterfield | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 26.7% |
| Kathryn Drennan | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% |
| Dylan Zink | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.