Race 7B

mt-hope-bay-south

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Daniel Petrovic 12.4% 13.6% 13.0% 9.0% 11.0% 10.0% 9.8% 7.5% 6.5% 5.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Craig 6.9% 8.4% 8.2% 8.1% 8.6% 9.9% 9.6% 9.9% 10.7% 10.9% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 13.7% 9.9% 10.8% 12.2% 9.6% 11.9% 10.1% 9.0% 5.8% 3.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 11.8% 11.0% 11.3% 10.3% 11.0% 9.2% 10.8% 9.2% 8.3% 3.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 3.3% 5.0% 4.4% 5.4% 6.6% 6.4% 7.8% 11.1% 13.3% 14.1% 12.4% 6.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Bitney 12.6% 13.0% 12.9% 11.9% 11.6% 10.2% 8.9% 6.3% 6.1% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Rush 7.7% 6.8% 6.4% 7.7% 7.6% 9.8% 9.6% 10.8% 11.4% 12.1% 7.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Renee Torrie 3.3% 4.2% 4.6% 6.2% 5.8% 6.6% 7.8% 11.1% 10.6% 13.3% 14.7% 8.8% 2.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Nathanson 10.7% 10.8% 10.4% 10.7% 8.8% 9.3% 9.9% 8.7% 8.3% 6.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
August Sturm 14.6% 12.8% 14.0% 13.8% 13.3% 10.0% 7.2% 5.1% 5.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Tampellini 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 4.2% 7.8% 18.1% 25.2% 20.5% 11.2% 2.7%
Matthew Lau-Hansen 1.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.9% 3.1% 3.3% 4.9% 6.0% 8.0% 11.5% 21.5% 18.3% 9.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Katherine Fox 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 2.1% 5.3% 11.9% 18.0% 23.2% 24.2% 10.8%
Luis Castro Loza 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 4.0% 8.8% 18.1% 23.6% 22.3% 10.9% 3.6%
Charles Zizza 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 0.8% 2.3% 4.7% 10.1% 18.5% 60.4%
Hanna Desilets 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.9% 0.4% 1.2% 3.3% 6.7% 10.8% 19.0% 34.0% 22.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.