Race 8B

mt-hope-bay-south

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Benjamin Craig 6.5% 9.0% 7.7% 8.2% 9.2% 9.2% 9.8% 11.0% 11.3% 9.5% 6.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 4.3% 4.4% 5.2% 6.1% 5.4% 7.8% 8.3% 9.0% 10.3% 14.4% 14.9% 7.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Bitney 14.7% 11.2% 12.1% 12.1% 11.2% 11.7% 9.5% 7.4% 5.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Rush 5.8% 7.0% 8.8% 7.3% 7.6% 8.5% 10.3% 12.1% 10.9% 10.8% 7.8% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 11.5% 11.5% 9.5% 12.3% 11.8% 9.6% 9.9% 8.7% 6.9% 4.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Petrovic 11.6% 10.9% 13.5% 12.3% 10.7% 9.7% 9.0% 7.6% 7.2% 4.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 12.3% 11.6% 9.9% 10.3% 11.1% 9.8% 8.6% 9.1% 8.2% 6.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
August Sturm 17.0% 16.2% 12.1% 11.8% 12.3% 8.1% 7.8% 6.7% 3.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Nathanson 10.1% 10.6% 10.7% 10.7% 9.5% 10.8% 9.4% 8.8% 8.9% 5.5% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
David Tampellini 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 1.7% 2.8% 6.9% 18.4% 23.5% 22.8% 12.2% 2.6%
Matthew Lau-Hansen 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.2% 4.8% 8.7% 11.4% 20.9% 19.2% 9.9% 4.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Katherine Fox 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.7% 2.9% 4.1% 11.7% 17.6% 22.0% 24.2% 11.8%
Renee Torrie 3.0% 3.6% 5.1% 5.3% 5.5% 7.6% 7.5% 9.5% 12.0% 15.2% 13.7% 8.4% 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Luis Castro Loza 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.7% 1.5% 2.5% 4.3% 8.2% 16.5% 26.9% 20.7% 10.9% 3.2%
Charles Zizza 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 2.6% 5.3% 9.2% 20.4% 58.7%
Hanna Desilets 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 3.1% 6.8% 10.8% 20.4% 31.5% 23.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.