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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.19+5.32vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+2.64vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.53+2.51vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+1.19vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.73-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.16-0.43vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.69-2.84vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.56-0.98vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.66-2.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-6.60vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.86-2.25vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-1.06-0.57vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.50-2.47vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-1.91vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.43-4.53vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-2.28-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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4.64Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.19Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.99Roger Williams University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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5.16Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.02McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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7.8Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College0.860.0%1st Place
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13.43Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.500.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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12.47Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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15.13University of Connecticut-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Craig | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 14.7% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 11.3% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 6.3% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 15.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lau-Hansen | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 18.2% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Fox | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 11.0% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 23.2% | 12.4% |
| Luis Castro Loza | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 24.7% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 3.9% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 31.2% | 21.7% |
| David Tampellini | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 19.1% | 21.8% | 24.1% | 10.8% | 3.6% |
| Charles Zizza | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 21.1% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.