Race 10B

mt-hope-bay-south

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Daniel Petrovic 12.9% 12.0% 12.6% 11.8% 11.2% 9.0% 9.4% 6.8% 6.4% 5.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 12.7% 12.4% 11.0% 11.4% 10.7% 8.8% 9.9% 7.3% 8.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Taylor Nathanson 10.0% 9.0% 11.5% 10.2% 9.2% 10.9% 10.8% 10.7% 8.6% 4.5% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Bitney 12.4% 14.1% 11.2% 11.6% 11.7% 9.6% 9.2% 8.6% 6.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Rush 6.4% 7.2% 8.5% 7.9% 9.0% 9.7% 9.6% 10.0% 11.2% 11.2% 5.3% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
August Sturm 14.7% 14.9% 14.0% 11.5% 12.0% 10.6% 6.8% 6.4% 4.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Craig 7.6% 7.7% 6.0% 9.1% 7.8% 9.8% 8.6% 10.8% 11.8% 10.4% 7.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 3.7% 4.8% 5.8% 5.4% 7.1% 6.0% 8.7% 10.6% 10.8% 13.8% 14.5% 6.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Renee Torrie 3.8% 4.1% 5.3% 4.7% 4.7% 7.5% 7.2% 11.1% 10.5% 14.3% 16.0% 7.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Luis Castro Loza 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.4% 1.0% 2.3% 6.9% 20.5% 22.3% 20.6% 13.6% 4.2%
Preston Duclos 13.1% 10.6% 10.5% 11.2% 10.4% 11.1% 10.2% 7.1% 8.2% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hanna Desilets 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 3.5% 6.8% 12.1% 17.9% 30.4% 24.7%
Matthew Lau-Hansen 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 3.6% 3.8% 5.8% 5.0% 7.8% 13.9% 22.2% 16.6% 10.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Charles Zizza 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 3.3% 5.3% 10.1% 22.1% 55.6%
David Tampellini 0.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 1.6% 2.4% 3.5% 7.0% 19.8% 24.9% 21.5% 10.5% 3.7%
Katherine Fox 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 2.7% 3.8% 10.3% 18.3% 26.5% 22.4% 11.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.