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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+6.04vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.13+9.25vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+3.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.04+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84-1.31vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23-0.83vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.80+2.55vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.87-1.75vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.63-2.05vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.78+2.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.68vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.00-2.72vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-5.63vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.80-7.62vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.09-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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6.25Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.77Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.17Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.55Bates College1.800.0%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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6.95Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.29University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.28Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.38Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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13.45Maine Maritime Academy0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 11.9% |
| Henry Dumke | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Casey Gowrie | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 22.0% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 7.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Shannon | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 27.1% | 23.6% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 1.4% |
| Adam Ceely | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Tersoni | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.