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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.67+2.98vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.58+5.66vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.12+3.06vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.40+3.18vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.42+2.37vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.36+1.04vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.40+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.17-1.61vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.71-0.73vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.86-1.19vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.39-0.48vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.72-0.67vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.15-3.15vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.37-7.02vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.73-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Western Washington University0.6720.1%1st Place
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7.66Western Washington University-0.586.2%1st Place
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6.06University of Washington-0.1210.4%1st Place
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7.18University of Oregon-0.406.6%1st Place
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7.37University of Washington-0.426.6%1st Place
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7.04University of Washington-0.368.0%1st Place
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7.15Western Washington University-0.406.4%1st Place
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6.39University of Washington-0.179.6%1st Place
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8.27University of Washington-0.714.3%1st Place
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8.81Arizona State University-0.865.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Oregon-1.392.8%1st Place
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11.33Arizona State University-1.721.9%1st Place
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9.85Western Washington University-1.153.0%1st Place
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6.98Western Washington University-0.377.2%1st Place
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11.41Western Washington University-1.732.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 20.1% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Addison Dunn | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Rowan Clinch | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Tillie Jane LeRoy | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Ava Butterfield | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Renee Chien | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Noah Lovelace | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Dylan Zink | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 16.1% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 25.9% |
| Kathryn Drennan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Erica Stavnem | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.