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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+6.80vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+1.91vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+4.17vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.33+4.75vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96-1.26vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.74-1.67vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.02vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-3.13vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.72-1.29vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.22-0.88vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.39-5.38vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.24-2.81vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.37-1.77vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.42-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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3.91Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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6.07Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.75Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.33Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.87Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
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10.12Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.62Northeastern University2.390.1%1st Place
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10.19University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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12.23Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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13.54Maine Maritime Academy-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Tong | 20.5% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Amina Brown | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 13.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Courtney Koos | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Bayard Lalor | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 6.6% |
| John Wehner | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 29.9% | 22.0% |
| Kyle Thomas | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 16.2% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.