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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+3.68vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+3.80vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.24+6.90vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.37+8.19vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.93+2.93vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.74-0.66vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.39-0.59vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.26-3.96vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.83-0.86vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49-3.80vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.33-1.20vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.85vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.22-2.74vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.42-0.35vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.72-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.8Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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9.9University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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12.19Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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5.34Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.41Northeastern University2.390.1%1st Place
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4.04Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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8.14University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.8Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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10.26Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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13.65Maine Maritime Academy-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 4.4% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 25.1% | 24.3% |
| Sarah Fuller | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Wehner | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 20.1% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte List | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 4.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 4.9% |
| Kyle Thomas | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 18.0% | 57.6% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.