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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+3.65vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.39+4.17vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut1.93+4.75vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+1.84vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+1.12vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.33+3.76vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.72+1.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.26-4.00vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.83-0.93vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.24+0.08vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.93-0.13vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.96vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.74-7.51vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.37-1.83vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.42-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.17Northeastern University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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5.84Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.12Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.76Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College1.720.1%1st Place
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4.0Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.08University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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10.87Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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7.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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12.17Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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13.56Maine Maritime Academy-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 14.4% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Wehner | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fuller | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 18.7% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 4.1% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 10.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 29.1% | 21.0% |
| Kyle Thomas | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 16.4% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.