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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+6.73vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+6.02vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+1.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.82vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.33+4.67vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.39+0.38vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.24+2.89vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.26-4.00vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.93+1.81vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-4.04vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-4.83vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.74-6.44vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.42+0.70vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.37-1.84vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.72-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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9.67Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.38Northeastern University2.390.1%1st Place
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9.89University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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4.0Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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10.81Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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5.96Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.17Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.56Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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13.7Maine Maritime Academy-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.16Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Peter Girard | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
| John Wehner | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 19.5% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 7.6% |
| Courtney Koos | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Thomas | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 16.5% | 59.5% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 28.4% | 20.9% |
| Thomas Gallagher | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.