Race 7B

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Samuel Campbell 2.9% 3.9% 3.1% 4.3% 4.9% 4.0% 5.3% 5.9% 6.8% 8.3% 10.3% 11.5% 13.7% 11.0% 4.1%
Frank Reeg 6.8% 6.9% 8.5% 8.3% 8.7% 8.0% 10.0% 9.0% 7.8% 8.0% 7.6% 5.1% 3.4% 1.6% 0.3%
John Wehner 8.5% 9.0% 7.5% 9.4% 9.8% 8.4% 9.3% 8.4% 8.8% 7.1% 5.9% 4.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Courtney Koos 9.7% 10.1% 10.8% 9.4% 9.8% 8.4% 7.9% 7.6% 8.9% 6.5% 4.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.3%
Thomas Gallagher 4.1% 4.9% 5.1% 4.7% 4.6% 6.7% 7.1% 6.5% 8.7% 8.8% 11.0% 11.8% 8.2% 6.6% 1.2%
Amina Brown 13.4% 14.4% 13.5% 9.5% 12.3% 10.8% 7.3% 7.2% 4.6% 3.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Charlotte List 10.2% 7.1% 8.7% 11.1% 9.3% 9.8% 9.5% 8.7% 6.6% 6.2% 5.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Alexander Tong 20.3% 17.2% 12.2% 12.0% 10.3% 8.3% 7.6% 5.2% 3.6% 1.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Amy Macdonald 0.4% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 1.7% 2.2% 3.2% 2.8% 4.8% 6.4% 7.9% 14.9% 29.6% 21.0%
Sarah Fuller 4.3% 3.9% 6.3% 6.6% 6.3% 8.3% 6.9% 8.2% 9.4% 10.9% 9.8% 7.9% 6.0% 4.1% 1.1%
Ryan Gershuny 2.7% 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 4.4% 4.6% 7.1% 6.7% 8.5% 8.9% 10.7% 15.4% 13.0% 6.0%
Drake Lyon 9.7% 11.3% 10.9% 10.7% 10.1% 8.3% 9.1% 9.1% 8.0% 5.1% 4.0% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Bayard Lalor 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 3.5% 6.6% 7.0% 6.8% 9.6% 14.0% 15.0% 13.7% 6.0%
Peter Girard 4.3% 4.2% 6.1% 5.7% 5.6% 7.8% 8.5% 6.2% 8.3% 11.6% 9.8% 9.5% 8.0% 3.7% 0.7%
Kyle Thomas 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 2.0% 2.8% 3.2% 4.7% 7.1% 14.8% 59.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.