Race 9A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jennifer Adler 14.8% 13.0% 13.1% 11.1% 11.2% 8.0% 9.5% 7.1% 5.3% 4.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Haley Powell 7.2% 8.0% 8.0% 8.4% 9.3% 9.0% 9.2% 8.2% 10.0% 10.8% 6.7% 4.5% 0.7%
Catherine Swanson 10.4% 11.0% 11.8% 8.5% 9.6% 11.9% 9.1% 9.0% 7.5% 6.0% 3.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Genoa Warner 9.0% 8.1% 9.8% 11.6% 8.4% 9.2% 9.3% 8.3% 8.6% 9.1% 5.9% 2.4% 0.3%
Stephanie Hudson 14.7% 14.3% 13.3% 8.9% 11.6% 9.8% 8.4% 6.7% 4.6% 4.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Liv Gunnarsson 7.8% 7.7% 7.2% 8.2% 8.2% 9.4% 9.3% 8.8% 9.2% 10.0% 9.2% 4.1% 0.9%
Erica Lush 4.8% 4.7% 4.2% 5.3% 4.6% 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 9.1% 13.0% 18.3% 13.4% 4.4%
Chandler Salisbury 11.3% 10.7% 9.2% 10.2% 10.8% 10.1% 9.3% 9.5% 7.3% 5.3% 4.4% 1.8% 0.1%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.5% 7.1% 5.9% 10.6% 7.2% 7.6% 8.9% 10.9% 10.0% 8.1% 10.9% 4.1% 1.2%
Brooke Doyon 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 1.4% 2.7% 3.2% 6.5% 22.2% 55.8%
Morgan Russom 6.5% 7.5% 8.7% 7.7% 8.8% 9.3% 8.2% 10.4% 10.3% 9.1% 8.0% 4.7% 0.8%
Ann Sager 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.0% 3.4% 3.3% 4.0% 5.6% 10.4% 31.7% 33.6%
Phoebe Sprague 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 6.8% 7.3% 7.3% 8.1% 9.2% 11.4% 11.8% 11.9% 7.4% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.