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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.67+3.33vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.58+6.35vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.17+4.09vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.39+7.71vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.37+2.72vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.12+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.36+0.92vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.42-0.01vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.86+0.60vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.71-0.97vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.40-3.22vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-0.40-4.13vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-1.07+4.00vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.15-3.40vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.72-2.25vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-1.73-3.32vs Predicted
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17Unknown School-1.07-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Western Washington University0.6719.2%1st Place
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8.35Western Washington University-0.585.8%1st Place
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7.09University of Washington-0.176.7%1st Place
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11.71University of Oregon-1.392.2%1st Place
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7.72Western Washington University-0.378.6%1st Place
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6.87University of Washington-0.128.7%1st Place
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7.92University of Washington-0.366.5%1st Place
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7.99University of Washington-0.425.8%1st Place
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9.6Arizona State University-0.864.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Washington-0.714.9%1st Place
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7.78Western Washington University-0.407.2%1st Place
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7.87University of Oregon-0.406.7%1st Place
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17Unknown School-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.6Western Washington University-1.153.8%1st Place
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12.75Arizona State University-1.721.5%1st Place
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12.68Western Washington University-1.731.6%1st Place
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10.36Unknown School-1.073.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 19.2% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Addison Dunn | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Ava Butterfield | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Zink | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 15.7% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Tillie Jane LeRoy | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Noah Lovelace | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Renee Chien | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Kathryn Drennan | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 22.9% |
| Erica Stavnem | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 24.8% |
| Aevyn Jackson | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.