Race 10A

riley-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Christopher Craven 4.7% 5.8% 5.3% 6.8% 6.6% 8.3% 6.1% 7.6% 7.5% 8.8% 7.6% 8.8% 7.1% 5.7% 3.0% 0.3%
Luca Taglialegne 3.5% 6.4% 5.6% 6.3% 5.0% 5.1% 8.3% 6.0% 7.7% 7.9% 7.5% 9.1% 9.3% 6.8% 4.1% 1.4%
Chase Quinn 17.0% 12.9% 13.3% 12.5% 10.3% 10.4% 8.7% 4.6% 3.9% 2.9% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Kennedy 3.6% 5.3% 5.0% 5.0% 6.0% 5.8% 7.3% 6.5% 7.9% 7.5% 9.3% 8.7% 9.7% 6.3% 5.2% 0.9%
Lee Dumaliang 5.6% 7.2% 7.8% 7.1% 8.7% 9.0% 8.3% 8.8% 6.2% 8.4% 7.2% 6.7% 4.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Jeremy Herrin 14.6% 14.0% 13.3% 11.0% 10.0% 10.0% 8.2% 5.4% 4.3% 3.1% 3.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 10.8% 8.8% 9.2% 9.2% 8.7% 8.9% 7.6% 7.5% 9.5% 6.3% 5.1% 4.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Jimmy Madigan 7.8% 7.9% 7.4% 8.4% 9.6% 8.7% 6.9% 8.1% 8.3% 7.3% 6.3% 5.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Matthew McDermaid 4.0% 3.4% 3.8% 4.4% 4.3% 4.6% 6.0% 7.1% 7.7% 7.2% 9.9% 8.9% 10.5% 10.3% 5.8% 2.1%
Marissa Golison 5.4% 5.4% 5.7% 5.7% 7.4% 6.4% 7.2% 8.2% 9.7% 8.9% 9.1% 7.8% 5.5% 4.8% 2.4% 0.4%
Wade Wagner 5.0% 5.0% 5.6% 6.0% 5.3% 5.9% 7.3% 8.3% 7.5% 7.7% 8.7% 8.8% 8.1% 6.4% 3.5% 0.9%
AJ Reiter 12.0% 12.9% 11.2% 10.8% 8.3% 8.6% 8.7% 8.4% 6.4% 4.8% 2.9% 2.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Rodman Brown 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 3.6% 5.1% 3.4% 4.1% 5.6% 6.1% 7.0% 8.3% 10.3% 11.3% 12.3% 12.4% 3.6%
Hannah Cantolino 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 5.1% 4.1% 6.1% 10.3% 13.1% 28.2% 18.2%
Samara Leith 2.5% 1.2% 2.4% 1.6% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 4.8% 3.9% 5.5% 7.4% 7.8% 10.0% 19.4% 16.3% 9.7%
Patrick Firth 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 1.8% 3.8% 6.7% 16.3% 62.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.