Race 10A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexandra Arntsen 7.5% 6.2% 7.7% 9.7% 9.0% 7.3% 9.0% 9.0% 10.9% 10.8% 8.3% 3.9% 0.7%
Stephanie Hudson 12.7% 13.8% 12.3% 12.6% 10.0% 10.4% 7.4% 7.2% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Genoa Warner 7.4% 9.5% 10.6% 9.2% 10.0% 9.1% 9.6% 10.0% 8.3% 6.6% 7.2% 2.2% 0.3%
Jennifer Adler 14.5% 13.6% 11.8% 12.2% 11.4% 8.1% 8.8% 6.8% 5.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Catherine Swanson 11.9% 11.8% 10.0% 12.1% 8.0% 10.8% 7.8% 9.4% 6.3% 5.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.0%
Liv Gunnarsson 7.9% 6.9% 9.0% 7.7% 8.4% 7.0% 10.7% 10.6% 8.3% 8.8% 9.9% 4.4% 0.4%
Chandler Salisbury 12.4% 9.9% 10.8% 8.8% 9.7% 11.4% 8.1% 8.4% 7.3% 7.4% 3.3% 1.9% 0.6%
Morgan Russom 6.5% 8.6% 7.1% 6.9% 7.0% 9.9% 10.1% 8.5% 10.6% 11.1% 7.8% 4.9% 1.0%
Haley Powell 7.7% 7.0% 7.3% 8.0% 9.3% 10.0% 9.3% 7.9% 10.0% 8.9% 8.5% 5.1% 1.0%
Erica Lush 4.3% 4.4% 4.0% 3.9% 6.0% 5.0% 7.3% 7.5% 8.7% 13.7% 17.0% 13.1% 5.1%
Phoebe Sprague 5.7% 6.7% 7.4% 6.3% 7.8% 8.3% 8.7% 10.6% 10.9% 9.3% 10.7% 6.1% 1.5%
Brooke Doyon 0.5% 0.7% 0.2% 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 3.3% 3.2% 7.1% 20.6% 57.8%
Ann Sager 1.0% 0.9% 1.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.8% 6.4% 11.8% 33.6% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.