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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+3.69vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+1.96vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.52+3.87vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+0.12vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.33+2.46vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+0.18vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.11+1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.12-0.01vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.27+1.77vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.77-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.63-1.28vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.15-4.00vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.82-3.91vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.22-0.64vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.26-4.05vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-1.08-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.2%1st Place
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3.96Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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6.87Old Dominion University2.520.1%1st Place
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4.12Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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7.46George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
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8.23Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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10.77Old Dominion University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.31George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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9.09Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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13.36Christopher Newport University0.220.0%1st Place
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10.95Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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15.3William and Mary-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Tara | 15.1% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 20.6% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Smith | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 16.7% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Engelberger | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Burgess | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Colin Suvak | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Brendon Wilkins | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 2.7% |
| Jay Spector | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Singh | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Fleig | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Laura Kilgore | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 37.3% | 16.6% |
| Paul Hart | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 2.4% |
| Jordan Sisco | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 12.8% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.