Race 5B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Andy Reiter 19.2% 18.0% 15.8% 12.7% 10.0% 6.3% 7.0% 4.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Tara 14.6% 13.2% 13.0% 11.9% 9.5% 9.5% 7.2% 7.0% 6.2% 2.9% 2.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jay Spector 3.6% 3.8% 3.3% 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 7.0% 7.5% 7.5% 8.1% 10.6% 10.8% 12.0% 6.1% 5.2% 0.5%
Riley Engelberger 4.4% 7.0% 6.7% 5.5% 7.6% 8.7% 8.7% 9.0% 7.8% 8.5% 9.6% 5.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.7% 0.1%
Kyle Burgess 8.4% 8.0% 9.6% 10.1% 11.6% 9.6% 7.7% 9.7% 6.1% 6.6% 6.1% 3.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Colin Suvak 4.1% 4.0% 5.8% 6.4% 7.4% 6.7% 8.2% 7.7% 11.1% 7.2% 8.3% 7.9% 5.3% 7.2% 2.3% 0.4%
Gabriel Smith 6.8% 7.5% 7.4% 6.8% 8.7% 9.1% 9.1% 8.7% 8.1% 7.9% 6.4% 6.9% 3.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Tyler Fleig 4.4% 5.3% 5.7% 7.6% 5.9% 7.5% 7.3% 9.5% 9.0% 9.8% 8.6% 7.2% 5.5% 5.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Anders Hudson 3.1% 3.7% 4.7% 4.8% 5.0% 6.0% 5.5% 8.2% 7.5% 10.6% 9.6% 9.8% 8.1% 8.1% 4.8% 0.5%
Paul Hart 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 2.6% 2.5% 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 5.0% 7.9% 11.4% 14.9% 17.4% 10.8% 2.5%
Campbell D'Eliscu 19.8% 15.8% 13.9% 13.3% 9.9% 9.6% 6.2% 4.4% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Singh 2.7% 3.7% 3.0% 3.5% 4.7% 5.4% 6.4% 5.7% 8.6% 8.4% 7.4% 10.1% 10.7% 11.0% 7.9% 0.8%
Brendon Wilkins 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.4% 5.0% 5.0% 5.4% 7.2% 8.3% 9.5% 13.6% 15.4% 12.2% 2.2%
Giuditta Di Laghi 4.6% 4.6% 5.4% 6.5% 7.3% 7.7% 8.6% 7.5% 7.8% 10.1% 8.0% 7.8% 7.2% 5.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Laura Kilgore 0.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1.1% 2.7% 2.6% 3.4% 5.9% 7.5% 12.7% 39.5% 17.5%
Jordan Sisco 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 2.8% 4.5% 12.0% 75.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.