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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+2.95vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+2.79vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.52+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.63+5.80vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+1.13vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.53-1.91vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.15+1.10vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.33-0.65vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.26+1.79vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.82-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia2.12-2.86vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.77-2.71vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.27-2.21vs Predicted
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14Hampton University2.11-5.94vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-1.08-0.78vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.22-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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4.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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6.85Old Dominion University2.520.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
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4.09Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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8.1U. S. Naval Academy2.150.1%1st Place
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7.35George Washington University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.79Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.17Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Virginia2.120.1%1st Place
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9.29George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.79Old Dominion University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.06Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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15.22William and Mary-1.080.0%1st Place
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13.46Christopher Newport University0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 19.5% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 15.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Smith | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Burgess | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 18.1% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Riley Engelberger | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 2.5% |
| Anders Hudson | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Colin Suvak | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Jay Spector | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Brendon Wilkins | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 2.6% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Sisco | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 11.7% | 75.9% |
| Laura Kilgore | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 38.6% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.