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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.63+8.94vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+3.99vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+3.43vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+0.37vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.52+2.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.15+2.50vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.33+0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.12+0.43vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-3.88vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.53-5.74vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.11-2.47vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.77-2.36vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.26-2.83vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.82-5.64vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.22-2.33vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-1.08-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.94University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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5.99Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
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4.37Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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7.25Old Dominion University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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7.96George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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5.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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4.26Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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8.53Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.64George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.17Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.36Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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13.67Christopher Newport University0.220.0%1st Place
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15.38William and Mary-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Singh | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 0.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Burgess | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 16.8% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Smith | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Fleig | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Riley Engelberger | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colin Suvak | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Tara | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 16.3% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Jay Spector | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 0.7% |
| Paul Hart | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 2.4% |
| Anders Hudson | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Laura Kilgore | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 13.0% | 43.0% | 18.2% |
| Jordan Sisco | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 12.6% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.