Race 11A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Haley Powell 7.8% 7.3% 8.7% 7.8% 9.6% 7.6% 9.2% 9.8% 10.0% 10.7% 7.3% 3.6% 0.6%
Jennifer Adler 14.0% 12.9% 13.0% 12.0% 10.8% 9.9% 7.2% 6.3% 6.5% 3.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Chandler Salisbury 8.5% 11.2% 11.7% 8.7% 10.7% 9.0% 10.9% 9.2% 7.5% 5.4% 5.5% 1.6% 0.1%
Catherine Swanson 11.4% 10.5% 10.2% 12.5% 9.0% 9.0% 10.9% 7.2% 8.0% 5.9% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3%
Stephanie Hudson 14.3% 14.1% 12.9% 10.9% 9.2% 10.8% 7.3% 8.0% 4.4% 4.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Alexandra Arntsen 7.6% 7.8% 8.0% 8.8% 7.5% 8.4% 9.5% 9.8% 10.4% 7.5% 10.0% 4.3% 0.4%
Genoa Warner 10.8% 9.6% 9.6% 8.5% 8.3% 10.4% 10.2% 7.7% 7.5% 9.2% 4.9% 2.7% 0.6%
Liv Gunnarsson 7.1% 8.5% 7.2% 7.4% 8.2% 9.3% 9.7% 9.4% 10.3% 10.3% 7.5% 4.5% 0.6%
Morgan Russom 6.9% 6.7% 6.2% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 8.8% 9.7% 9.2% 10.1% 10.1% 5.6% 1.2%
Phoebe Sprague 6.6% 6.1% 6.2% 6.7% 8.6% 8.6% 6.8% 10.3% 8.4% 10.1% 12.8% 6.5% 2.3%
Erica Lush 3.6% 3.6% 4.4% 6.5% 5.9% 5.7% 6.3% 8.0% 10.4% 12.5% 15.5% 13.7% 3.9%
Brooke Doyon 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 1.2% 1.6% 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 2.9% 3.6% 6.5% 20.6% 58.0%
Ann Sager 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.0% 2.1% 1.6% 1.6% 2.8% 4.5% 6.1% 10.9% 34.0% 31.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.