← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.51+3.21vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia1.63+7.96vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+3.43vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University2.11+4.72vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.15+3.43vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-0.84vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.53-2.67vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.89-2.10vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.33-1.25vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University1.77-0.27vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia2.12-2.51vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.52-4.76vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University0.22+0.58vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University1.82-4.61vs Predicted
-
15Washington College1.26-3.70vs Predicted
-
16William and Mary-1.08-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.21Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
-
9.96University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
-
6.43St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.72Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
-
8.43U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
-
5.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
-
4.33Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
-
5.9Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
7.75George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
-
9.73George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.49University of Virginia2.120.1%1st Place
-
7.24Old Dominion University2.520.1%1st Place
-
13.58Christopher Newport University0.220.0%1st Place
-
9.39Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
-
11.3Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
-
15.38William and Mary-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 17.6% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Burgess | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Fleig | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Tara | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 16.6% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Engelberger | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jay Spector | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Colin Suvak | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Smith | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Kilgore | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 40.9% | 17.6% |
| Anders Hudson | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Paul Hart | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 2.6% |
| Jordan Sisco | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 12.8% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.