Race 11B

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Campbell D'Eliscu 17.3% 15.5% 16.2% 12.4% 10.0% 7.5% 6.2% 6.2% 3.8% 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Tara 13.2% 14.2% 12.2% 9.6% 9.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.4% 4.9% 4.6% 2.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Andy Reiter 17.6% 14.9% 15.0% 13.1% 9.8% 10.0% 7.1% 5.4% 2.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Elkin 8.1% 9.7% 10.0% 8.1% 9.0% 10.2% 9.0% 9.3% 7.4% 6.2% 5.8% 3.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Colin Suvak 4.1% 3.8% 4.2% 6.3% 5.8% 6.7% 8.4% 7.4% 8.2% 8.7% 8.9% 9.0% 9.2% 6.8% 2.2% 0.3%
Giuditta Di Laghi 3.9% 3.1% 4.9% 6.7% 6.6% 6.8% 7.5% 7.0% 8.7% 8.0% 8.2% 9.9% 8.5% 6.6% 3.3% 0.3%
Gabriel Smith 6.6% 7.4% 5.4% 7.5% 8.0% 7.2% 9.3% 7.3% 9.3% 8.4% 7.9% 7.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Tyler Fleig 4.3% 5.2% 5.5% 5.4% 6.9% 7.8% 6.5% 7.1% 8.4% 8.5% 9.6% 9.0% 8.1% 5.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Jay Spector 3.1% 3.4% 3.7% 4.0% 3.8% 5.5% 5.7% 6.4% 8.4% 7.7% 9.0% 10.6% 11.9% 9.9% 6.1% 0.8%
Riley Engelberger 5.6% 5.6% 4.4% 6.2% 6.2% 7.4% 9.5% 7.7% 9.2% 10.0% 9.3% 6.8% 6.5% 4.0% 1.5% 0.1%
Anders Hudson 3.4% 3.7% 2.4% 5.6% 5.8% 4.8% 4.1% 6.1% 8.1% 7.0% 10.6% 9.5% 12.2% 10.2% 6.0% 0.5%
Kyle Burgess 7.7% 7.9% 9.7% 9.1% 9.7% 8.4% 6.9% 8.7% 8.1% 8.4% 6.4% 3.9% 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Alexander Singh 2.3% 2.7% 3.0% 3.3% 4.9% 4.2% 5.1% 6.0% 6.8% 8.2% 9.2% 11.6% 10.7% 13.1% 7.9% 1.0%
Paul Hart 2.2% 1.5% 2.4% 2.1% 2.9% 3.0% 4.5% 5.2% 5.0% 6.1% 6.9% 10.6% 11.4% 19.7% 13.8% 2.7%
Laura Kilgore 0.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 3.3% 2.3% 3.6% 7.5% 14.2% 41.3% 18.8%
Jordan Sisco 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 2.3% 3.5% 14.0% 75.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.