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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+3.19vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+2.22vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+2.11vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.52+3.38vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76+1.47vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.89+0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.63+3.14vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.82+1.39vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.77+0.55vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.33-2.14vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.15-2.67vs Predicted
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12Hampton University2.11-3.44vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.22+0.60vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia2.12-5.63vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.26-3.65vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-1.08-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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4.22Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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5.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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7.38Old Dominion University2.520.1%1st Place
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6.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.1%1st Place
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6.12Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.39Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.55George Washington University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.86George Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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8.56Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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13.6Christopher Newport University0.220.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Virginia2.120.0%1st Place
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11.35Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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15.36William and Mary-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 18.5% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 18.8% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Smith | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Burgess | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 0.9% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Jay Spector | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| Riley Engelberger | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Fleig | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Laura Kilgore | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 41.0% | 17.8% |
| Colin Suvak | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Paul Hart | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 21.2% | 14.9% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Sisco | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 13.1% | 75.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.